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Snow or none?

Posted: Tue Oct 03, 2017 8:04 pm
by Harris
So what is the consensus? Are we in for an El Nino or La Nina?

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Wed Oct 04, 2017 10:27 am
by hrishi
Harris wrote:So what is the consensus? Are we in for an El Nino or La Nina?


As of now, a La Nina
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... disc.shtml

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:31 pm
by satsuma
Can't be none since we have already had snow in the Blues, Elkhorn, and Wallowas.

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Thu Oct 05, 2017 4:24 pm
by connyro
We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:28 pm
by fisheater
connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...


In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Wed Oct 11, 2017 9:43 am
by connyro
Ah yes, the oak leaves prediction. I'd be interested to see what that method predicts for us this year! Well, if you have another lousy year down there, you might consider getting up this way, even though we "don't have anything to ski" ;)

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2017 9:02 am
by satsuma
Snow forecast (in Blue Mountains) again for this weekend--looks like it may stick around this time

Forecast for the northwest is for more precipitation and colder weather than average, but less snow than last year. A later start to winter, although it hasn't looked that way at times.

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2017 9:18 am
by STG
Here is NOAH's forecast for winter: http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/us-wi ... rier-south

Since they deal in probabilities, I think it could go either way depending on the geographical region. Maybe a winter that vacillates between the two (El Nino/La Nina) since NOAH is predicting 55+/- chance?

NOAH video:

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2017 11:38 am
by connyro
fisheater wrote:
connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...


In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.


Are the oak leaves offering up and insight yet for winter conditions this season? We got a few inches of crusty snow last night with more to come over the next few days.

Re: Snow or none?

Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2017 8:34 pm
by fisheater
connyro wrote:
fisheater wrote:
connyro wrote:We had a historically shitty winter last year. Little snow and warm temps. It's been the trend for the last couple of years. That is extremely rare where I'm at on the south shore of lake Superior. We are due for a real winter this year...


In SE Michigan we get some lame winters, even when I was a kid in the sixties before climate change. We have ea bumper crop of black walnuts to get the squirrels through a snowy winter. I will know better when my oaks drop their leaves, if a large percentage cling on past the leaf drop, I will be a happy skier. I have had two lame winters in a row, I believe it will be a good one this year.


Are the oak leaves offering up and insight yet for winter conditions this season? We got a few inches of crusty snow last night with more to come over the next few days.


Down here we are getting to peak color. My lawn is pretty leaf covered, but most of the leaves are still on the maples. My hickory is a brilliant gold, but the oaks have just started to change slightly. It will be a good three to four weeks before I will know if the oaks will hold a good portion of the leaves through the winter. However bad news could come earlier with a sudden complete leaf drop earlier. We had some sleet today, at least it was white!