And my graphic showed colder. Yours is more recent but the probability doesn’t make warmer a certainty. Same for colder. Those patterns aren’t arbitrary… and they’re only relative (more on this in a moment). They suggest what climate wonks think that the prevailing flow of jet stream will be doing.
We get a lot of super cold air in the UP from Canada. It doesn’t take much flow from the south to buffer it. That doesn’t mean we’ll be basking in warmth. It might mean we’re just a bit warmer than normal. It will still be cold enough for snow (maybe grandpa @connyro can dig into his weather charts and find a year when it wasn’t cold enough to snow and suggest that a once in a generation event from 30 years ago is all of a sudden going to be the new norm, but that sort of testimony is silly) … but only if there is enough moisture to make it happen.
Which comes back to that jet stream thing and the UP. We’re in an edge zone that will be influenced by what the jet stream actually does. The bends and loops have a profound effect on snow here… just like east coast lows have a profound effect on snow in the NE states and can deliver some great snow as far west as N NYS (which is not the same as MI, @connyro). Surface winds can mitigate this a lot… wind hitting the Porkies at an oblique angle will change direction etc.
Warmer or colder, if the predominant surface winds passes over Superior into the UP, it will be an epic year (regardless of whether it is incrementally colder or warmer than historical norms).